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Ukraine Conflict Fueling Global Food Crisis

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Before the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine exported approximately 6 million tons of agricultural commodities to countries in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.

Russian ships and sea mines, however, have since closed Ukrainian Black Sea ports.

Now, a measly 15 to 20 percent of the expected volume can now be exported. Add to that the increased trade risks associated with Russian exports as a result of sanctions imposed by nations and banks. This resulted in price hikes and supply chain disruptions, putting impoverished importing countries’ food security at risk.

The conflict in Ukraine has sparked what is considered the 3rd global food price crisis in 15 years.

Impact of Ukraine War on Food Security

Even before Russia invaded Ukraine, the impact of various man-made conflicts, such as COVID-19, was hurting the world economy and had disastrous effects on the lives of the poor in low-income and developing nations.

Global food costs have been rising since the middle of 2020 and are now at an all-time high as a result of the COVID pandemic, supply chain problems, and surging inflation.

Three nations control 68% of the world’s wheat reserves, while seven nations account for 86% of wheat exports. When it comes to coarse grains, corn, rice, and soybeans, the statistics are comparable.

Before the war, Russia and Ukraine supplied roughly 30% of the world’s wheat and barley. Thirty-six countries relied on them for more than half of their wheat imports, including some of the world’s most vulnerable and impoverished. Moreover, fuel prices have reached a seven-year high. Sixty percent of low-income nations are either at high risk of or are already in debt crisis, up from 30% in 2015.

Shocks like the Ukraine war highlight the fact that food insecurity issues are not always due to availability issues. It’s more a matter of affordability and accessibility.

Food insecurity will likely reach previously unheard-of heights as the war carries on. There will be a shocking 17% increase in the number of people experiencing acute hunger in the 81 countries where the UN World Food Programme (WFP) operates, or an additional 47 million people, from 276 million to 323 million. Sub-Saharan Africa will experience the largest increases.

When crises like the war in Ukraine occur, the world’s food supply can be abruptly disrupted, resulting in high costs due to the markets’ concentration and fragility.

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Averting Food Crisis in the Wake of War

Even while food costs have dropped from recent highs in many regions, high food—and energy—prices have generated a cost-of-living crisis that is expected to worsen poverty and harm growth, potentially igniting political instability.

As a result, several countries’ policymakers have implemented fiscal measures to protect citizens from the ongoing food crisis.

That being said, the international community should concentrate on the following:

Strong, prompt response


To alleviate the global food crisis and prevent human suffering, strong and rapid governmental
action is required in four areas:

  1. Swiftly and appropriately assist those at risk of hunger by providing them with humanitarian aid through the World Food Programme and other agencies, combined with efficient domestic economic policies. To lessen the impact of the cost-of-living problem, policymakers should prioritize tackling inflation and safeguarding the most disadvantaged.

    Social aid in the short term should concentrate on giving the poor emergency cash transfers or food support. In cases when this is not feasible, interim relief may be offered through second-best tax and subsidy policies.

  2.  Enhance food production and distribution, especially by making sure that fertilizers are accessible and that crop diversification is done. Addressing the current food price shock requires increasing trade financing and strengthening supply linkages.

    The World Bank and other multilateral development banks play an important role in increasing trade financing for agricultural commodities and other food goods, as well as providing assistance to governments in upgrading vital logistics and infrastructure.

  3. Open trade, especially within regions, to allow extra food to go to those in need. We must build on the gains established under the Black Sea Grain Initiative and at the World Trade Organization’s 12th Ministerial Conference by phasing out export limits imposed by major grain producers as soon as possible. According to the World Bank, protectionist measures exacerbate the food crisis by contributing for up to 9% of the increase in global wheat prices.
  4. Growing future yields will require investing in climate-resilient agriculture. Food insecurity is growing as weather disasters become more severe and unpredictable. Low-income nations are among those least equipped to deal with the repercussions of climate change, especially those in sub-Saharan Africa. With a focus on low-cost, high-impact strategies like investing in new crop types, improved water management, and information distribution, solutions should be tailored to local circumstances.

Taking a Stand

The international community must also act swiftly to guarantee that the necessary funding is available to address the crisis immediately and to improve food security in the medium- to long term. Food security institutions must be effectively funded since they play an important role due to their local presence in many countries and unrelenting focus on the human cost of severe food poverty.

More grants and concessional financing from donors and international organizations are urgently needed to supplement financial and in-kind help for those most vulnerable to food insecurity. Debt relief will also be necessary for some countries.

Ultimately, we must rethink our approach to conflict and its repercussions. To maintain complementarity and optimum efficiency in resource utilization, a thorough and well-coordinated approach is required.

We must all act today to alleviate the suffering of those who are hunger-stricken by providing
the necessary funding to countries that take meaningful policy action

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